Debt Crisis – The Best Ways To Deal And Cope With It
Most analyses of the debt crisis of the 1980s maintain that debtor countries were
paying interest rates approximately equal to the world risk-free interest rate plus
a small spread, as most loans were at floating interest rates. This view emphasizes
how the rise in real interest rates in the early '808 increased the burden of debt
service for all highly indebted countries (HICs).
The data on interest payments by HICs, however, show that this description fits
some countries quite well and others not at all. Figure 1 shows the average interest
rate on long-term debt paid by nine of the largest debtor countries in 1973-89 and
LIBOR, the usual measure of the international risk-free interest rate. The data
are obtained dividing interest payments by the stock of debt outstanding, and correcting
for interest arrears, hence they reflect all contractual obligations towards external
long-term creditors, as opposed to actual payments'. Turkey, Indonesia, and the
Philippines were charged rates systematically below LIBOR for most of the period
under consideration, while other countries, such as Mexico and Chile, had to pay
a positive spread2. Differences in the interest rate, of course, imply that countries
with similar inflows of foreign capital end up with quite different debt service
obligations, and that high-interest rate countries must make larger transfers of
resources to their creditors before their debt statistics start to improve.
Hence, a large cross-country variation in interest rates casts some doubts on the
distinction between 'good' and 'bad' borrowers, 'The Turldsh interest rate in 1979-80
is not corrected for arrears, as the size of the arrears could not be determined.